The Cummings secret pointing to Cup roughie

2 years ago 109

Legendary equine trainer Bart Cummings had a celebrated look that mightiness conscionable foretell the victor of the 2022 Melbourne Cup.

Cummings, who died successful 2015, won Australia's favourite contention a grounds 12 times, the astir caller successful 2008.

Form expert Nic Ashman explained to Wide World of Sports for Bet365.

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"He had a mentation that successful bid to triumph a Melbourne Cup you (the horse) had to person 10km successful your legs successful your existent preparation, and you besides had to tally the Saturday earlier the Melbourne Cup," Ashman explained of the Cummings formula.

"There's conscionable 1 equine that fits that measure (this year), and that's Stockman."

The Joseph Pride trained gelding Stockman was rated arsenic a $29 changeable by Bet365 arsenic of Sunday afternoon.

INTERNATIONAL RAID AND AUSSIE HOPES

There's a big of planetary raiders who person flown Down Under this twelvemonth to instrumentality a stab astatine the $7.75 cardinal Melbourne Cup.

The short-priced favourite is Deauville Legend, trained successful Great Britain and heavy backed to get the chocolates connected Tuesday.

But a swarm of Aussie horses are hoping to repetition what Vow And Declare did successful 2019, and trounce the overseas rivals.

Vow and Declare wins Melbourne Cup

Vow And Declare volition enactment up successful the Cup again this week, but there's different section hopes successful with a superior chance.

"As acold arsenic the Australian contingent goes it's decidedly down connected prime connected past years, truthful that makes it much truthful a winnable contention for these planetary runners," Ashman said.

"You've ever got to look for the champion weighted equine successful the race, and that's got to beryllium Lunar Flare for Grahame Begg.

"She gets down to 51kg aft moving immoderate truly bully races wearing much value than that. She's retired of Fiorente who won the Cup for Gai Waterhouse a fewer years back.

"Speaking of Gai... Knights Order won the Sydney Cup connected a dense way backmost successful the autumn, and don't hide it's expected to beryllium Armageddon present (at Flemington) connected Tuesday, truthful (it and Hoo Ya Mal) are 2 of the champion chances from the Australian representatives."

Ashman says Point Nepean and Serpentine are besides successful the premix to triumph an eighth Melbourne Cup for prolific proprietor Lloyd Williams.

THE RACE FAVOURITE

English raider Deauville Legend was connected Sunday rated a $3.60 favourite to triumph the Melbourne Cup with Bet365.

The gelding has lone had 7 starts, but has 3 wins and 3 2nd placings nether his belt, and comes to Australia with precocious expectations.

"He's got the champion ratings of immoderate equine successful the race, he's astir 3 lengths wide of the adjacent champion European horse," Ashman said.

"But he's a bluish hemisphere three-year-old, they typically person a large recordv (in the Melbourne Cup). They won the contention successful 2017 with Rekindling, and again successful 2018 with Cross Counter. They were an unlucky 2nd with Il Paradiso successful 2019, and again 2nd with Tiger Moth successful 2020.

"It's surely the property bracket that goes truly well.

"The occupation is he's got 55kg, which is mode much than immoderate of them person had to carry. The handicappers are good and genuinely clued connected to the information the bluish hemisphere three-year-olds are the horses to beat.

"He's got a spot of value connected his back, he's besides untested connected thing different than bully ground, and that's got to beryllium a concern.

"But determination is nary doubting his class, helium is the champion equine successful the race."

ASHMAN'S RACE TIPS

1st Deauville Legend

2nd Lunar Flare

3rd Point Nepean

4th Stockman

5th Serpentine

6th Knights Order

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