Turkish lira continues slide to new record lows following Erdogan's election victory

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People walking adjacent to a Turkish nationalist emblem astatine the humanities expansive bazaar successful Istanbul.

Ozan Kose | AFP | Getty Images

The Turkish lira slumped to yet different all-time debased Tuesday, extending its descent aft the re-election of incumbent President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

The currency was past trading astatine 20.15 against the greenback at astir 5 a.m. Tuesday greeting section time, surpassing Monday's lows. Earlier successful the session, it had concisely weakened to 20.2 levels to the dollar. The lira has mislaid much than 7% of its worth since the commencement of the year.

Turkey's Election Board connected Sunday confirmed that Erdogan won Turkey's 2023 statesmanlike predetermination with 52.14% of the votes, portion his hostile Kemal Kilicdaroglu received 47.86%.

"If a large determination weaker successful the lira, and imaginable systemic economical situation is to beryllium avoided, Erdogan needs to determination accelerated and name idiosyncratic similar Simsek arsenic economical constituent person," said BlueBay Asset Management's Senior EM Sovereign Strategist Timothy Ash via e-mail.

Mehmet Simsek was Turkey's erstwhile concern curate who was known for his marketplace affable policies. He subsequently went connected to go the country's lawman premier curate from 2015 to 2018.

"The question is whether immoderate specified idiosyncratic volition person capable state to marque economical argumentation changes that are needed — similar complaint hikes," Ash continued.

Turkey's monetary argumentation places an accent connected the pursuit of maturation and export contention alternatively than taming inflation, and Erdogan endorses the unconventional presumption that raising involvement rates increases inflation.

"There's a wide anticipation that [the lira] going to weaken successful coming months," Standard Chartered Bank's Steven Englander told CNBC connected "Street Signs Asia" Monday.

He added that Turkey has "a batch of economical issues" that volition intensify pursuing Erdogan's instrumentality to office.

Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs analysts stated successful a probe report, pursuing the run-off predetermination results, the the absorption fpr the marketplace volition proceed to beryllium connected the cardinal bank's overseas currency reserves and the lira.

"International reserves person continuously fallen since the opening of the twelvemonth and are adjacent to levels erstwhile antecedently TRY [Turkish lira] volatility sharply increased," the concern banks' analysts wrote.

We person  a pessimistic outlook connected  the Turkish lira, strategist says

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