Vance, Ryan in dead heat in Ohio U.S. Senate race with two weeks until the election, new polls show

Republican J.D. Vance and Democrat Tim Ryan are cervix and cervix successful Ohio's U.S. Senate contention with astir 2 weeks until Election Day, 2 caller polls released Monday show.

The candidates are moving adjacent successful the cardinal midterm race, with enactment from 46% of apt voters each, according to a Spectrum News/Siena College survey. A abstracted canvass from Marist recovered Vance and Ryan tied astatine 47% apiece among apt voters.

The Senate contention successful Ohio is 1 of a fistful of contests that volition determine whether Democrats support power of a Senate divided 50-50 by party. As GOP Sen. Rob Portman retires, holding the unfastened spot would assistance Republicans successful their bid to triumph power of the chamber.

The Siena College canvass has a borderline of mistake of plus-or-minus 5.1 percent points and was conducted from Oct. 14 to Oct. 17. Marist's survey has a borderline of mistake of plus-or-minus 4.3 percent points and was conducted from Oct. 17 to Oct. 20.

Ryan's enactment among apt voters successful some polls was unchanged from a period ago. Vance saw a 3 percent point-bump successful the Siena canvass from the erstwhile month, but his enactment dropped by 1 percent constituent successful the Marist survey compared with the anterior month.

Both polls find women similar Ryan and men similar Vance. In the Siena poll, women preferred Ryan by a 54% to 38% margin, portion Marist showed helium held a 50% to 39% borderline among women. The Siena canvass recovered men preferred Vance by a 55% to 37% margin, portion Marist recovered a 54% to 39% vantage among men.

The sex disagreement suggests that termination whitethorn beryllium a origin successful the choky race. The contented jumped to the forefront of voters' minds successful June erstwhile the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade and the law close to an abortion.

Several states person already barred termination oregon passed near-total bans connected the procedure, and Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina projected a nationalist prohibition aft 15 weeks. Vance has said helium would enactment Graham's bill.

In caller weeks the system has eclipsed termination arsenic the fig 1 contented for voters. The Siena canvass did not inquire voters astir issues.

But ostentation was apical of caput for voters successful the Marist poll, arsenic 40% said it was the astir important contented for them successful this election. Another 20% of respondents said preserving ideology was their apical issue, portion 18% responded with abortion.

Ryan has trounced Vance successful fundraising, but extracurricular groups person helped the Republican adjacent the gap.

Ryan raised $17.2 cardinal successful the 3rd 4th and reported $1.4 cardinal successful currency connected manus going into October. Vance reported $6.9 cardinal raised successful the 3rd 4th and $3.4 cardinal successful currency connected hand.

The Senate Leadership Fund, the GOP's Senate Super PAC, unsocial has poured $24.6 cardinal into the contention during the predetermination rhythm including the primary, according to information from Open Secrets.

Republican PACs Protect Ohio Values, Club for Growth, USA Freedom Fund and Ohio Leads combined person piled much than $62.4 cardinal into the contention this cycle. The aforesaid cannot beryllium said connected the Democratic side, wherever the largest donor has been the Save America Fund astatine $3.1 million.

Through Election Day, extracurricular groups person reserved $7.9 cardinal successful ads for Vance, according to information from Ad Impact. Vance's run has booked $434,000 worthy of ads.

Ryan's run has reserved $3.3 cardinal successful ads and extracurricular groups person enactment speech $3.1 million.