China's tech sector may see fewer regulatory surprises — not zero, says S&P Global Ratings

11 months ago 71

Signage astatine the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. offices successful Beijing, China, connected Wednesday, March 29, 2023. Alibaba's overhaul could service arsenic a template for a restructuring of China Tech itself: a shake-up that achieves Beijings purpose of carving up the countrys tech titans portion unlocking perchance billions of dollars successful pent-up shareholder value.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

The worst whitethorn beryllium implicit for China's net assemblage — but it doesn't mean determination won't beryllium immoderate much regulations from the Chinese authorities, said S&P Global Ratings successful a caller report.

"If anything, we expect much regulatory actions good into the foreseeable future, peculiarly astir information information and contented moderation. But the scope for surprises should beryllium importantly diminished and they shouldn't effect successful important operational challenges, arsenic occurred successful 2021," said S&P Global Ratings, successful a report.

"China's net assemblage has emerged from its regulatory shakeup. Policymakers are signaling enactment and look done with large ineligible changes oregon sweeping actions," said the study entitled "China's net regulations: Fewer surprises, not zero surprises."

"The play of large surprises is apt successful the rear-view mirror. Yet changes made volition not beryllium unmade."

Social media firms whitethorn besides request to walk much connected contented moderation to guarantee they don't tally into regulatory problems, said the recognition standing agency.

China's crackdown connected its ample tech companies started in 2020, which saw the authorities imposing caller regulations connected tech. Ant Group, the fiscal limb of Alibaba, was pursuing a $37 cardinal IPO astatine that time, but was forced to suspend the nationalist listing days before its launch.

Other tech giants specified arsenic Tencent, Meituan, Baidu, JD.com, Didi Chuxing were not spared either. China launched probes into improper antitrust, anti-monopoly, and user extortion practices among others.

Read much astir tech and crypto from CNBC Pro

"In our view, companies volition set their concern practices to align with stricter enforcement of anti-competitive rules. Many of the regulatory actions were geared toward specified behavior," said S&P. The study noted that Tencent was fined and ordered to springiness up exclusive euphony licensing rights successful July 2021 for its acquisition of China Music Corp. successful 2016.

"As a result, ample net companies volition apt curtail their mergers and acquisitions activity, peculiar of imaginable competitors and innovative start-ups that could 1 time disrupt their market," said S&P.

The U.S. recognition standing bureau said successful bid to guarantee their operations are not disrupted by stricter enforcement of anti-monopoly laws, Chinese tech companies volition request to "invest successful their halfway businesses and possibly selectively successful caller businesses."

But the worst is over, respective analysts person besides said.

Alibaba's splitting of its concern into six abstracted units, each portion with the quality to rise outer backing and prosecute listings, was seen by analysts arsenic a motion that China may beryllium relaxing its scrutiny connected its home tech companies.

S&P said determination whitethorn beryllium "added benefit" of addressing immoderate of the government's concerns by loosening the power implicit immoderate concern units.

"The regulatory headwinds that we had successful the past 2 years … that's present becoming from a headwind to a tailwind," said George Efstathopoulos, portfolio manager astatine Fidelity International, connected CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" connected March 29.

 B Capital

Chinese leaders besides committed to enactment the "healthy" improvement of the sector and nationalist listings for tech companies during the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference successful May past year.

"Fewer antagonistic regulatory surprises person ensued since," S&P noted.

"We clasp to our presumption that the Chinese authorities is looking to onslaught a equilibrium betwixt growth, societal stability, and security," the ratings bureau said successful its report.

China's gaming regulator had restarted online crippled approvals, including titles belonging to Tencent and NetEase, successful April 2022 aft a months-long freeze. The regulator suspended online crippled licensing successful August 2021, with authorities media calling it a "spiritual opium" which harms the intelligence maturation of minors.

Read Entire Article